Probability I: Introductory Ideas

Congressman Bob Forehead has been thinking about the upcoming midterm elections and has prepared the following list of possible developments in his career during the midterm elections:He wins his party’s nomination for reelection. He returns to his law practice. He is nominated for vice president. He loses his party’s nomination for reelection. He wins reelection. (a) Is each item on this list an “event” in the category of “Midterm Election Career Developments?” (b) Are all of the items qualifying as “events” in part (a) mutually exclusive? If not, are any mutually exclusive? (c) Are the events on the list collectively exhaustive?

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